Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 89.896153 100.251199 110.815751 122.369638 134.619775 147.192340 161.042322
2025-03-02 73.891340 88.785322 104.624779 122.601460 142.319693 163.180949 186.812079
2025-03-09 64.358439 81.817648 100.962172 123.264920 148.297565 175.312459 206.460075
2025-03-16 55.819537 74.864812 96.350987 121.974927 151.316423 183.518491 221.194277
2025-03-23 50.619753 71.138926 94.858615 123.701407 157.267192 194.598696 238.775000
2025-03-30 46.465248 68.216856 93.930320 125.745633 163.297984 205.543106 256.016792
2025-04-06 41.467065 63.820351 90.880310 124.968325 165.783016 212.222884 268.234173
2025-04-13 36.204343 58.659638 86.542274 122.328420 165.804506 215.837908 276.747446
2025-04-20 34.531870 58.005206 87.667431 126.219403 173.508774 228.335453 295.481938
2025-04-27 32.396919 56.554479 87.649531 128.591157 179.305349 238.542050 311.524205
2025-05-04 29.216759 53.436200 85.303489 127.900532 181.260209 244.114654 322.074818
2025-05-11 26.155287 50.249801 82.683353 126.705060 182.467607 248.698364 331.383233
2025-05-18 24.081897 48.371353 81.735817 127.625711 186.310716 256.501035 344.607933
2025-05-25 21.813131 46.031629 80.040807 127.483369 188.763096 262.589973 355.782846
2025-06-01 20.043562 44.308784 79.085583 128.222617 192.257922 269.898554 368.386967
2025-06-08 17.788366 41.632888 76.656728 126.892186 193.036934 273.824031 376.876332
2025-06-15 16.640878 40.656369 76.577202 128.661591 197.745766 282.559292 391.170454
2025-06-22 15.673012 39.900342 76.763495 130.754353 202.849903 291.776135 406.055858
2025-06-29 14.013320 37.813353 74.897047 129.958575 204.149750 296.233139 415.122662
2025-07-06 12.034146 34.957024 71.737968 127.255462 202.863431 297.392625 420.102063
2025-07-13 11.784702 35.258884 73.361538 131.239414 210.382515 309.604369 438.667120
2025-07-20 11.198135 34.871389 73.894337 133.667275 215.836953 319.223162 454.057226
2025-07-27 9.980686 33.142810 72.261982 132.960355 217.081806 323.500512 462.841759